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按照被調(diao)查棉(mian)農植棉(mian)面積加權平均計算(suan)，預計全國(guo)棉(mian)花總產量為550.42萬(wan)噸(dun)，同(tong)比增長(chang)(chang)11.5%，較上期(qi)(qi)預測減少4.07萬(wan)噸(dun)；分(fen)區域看，新(xin)疆北部(bu)機采棉(mian)長(chang)(chang)勢基本正(zheng)常，南疆拾花工短缺，采摘(zhai)緩(huan)慢，對產量造(zao)成了一(yi)定影響，預計產量為443.5萬(wan)噸(dun)，同(tong)比增長(chang)(chang)12.27%，較上期(qi)(qi)預測減少4萬(wan)噸(dun)；內地(di)中下旬天氣轉好，棉(mian)花長(chang)(chang)勢正(zheng)常，預計產量約為100萬(wan)噸(dun)，同(tong)比增長(chang)(chang)7.7%，與上期(qi)(qi)預測持平。
截止10月底，北疆棉(mian)(mian)(mian)花(hua)采(cai)(cai)摘(zhai)(zhai)(zhai)(zhai)基(ji)本(ben)結束，南(nan)疆還在繼續(xu)采(cai)(cai)摘(zhai)(zhai)(zhai)(zhai)，據中國(guo)棉(mian)(mian)(mian)花(hua)協(xie)會調查，新疆棉(mian)(mian)(mian)區采(cai)(cai)摘(zhai)(zhai)(zhai)(zhai)進度(du)超過八成，同比加(jia)快11.9個(ge)百分點(dian)，交售進度(du)為(wei)74.9%，同比加(jia)快13.4個(ge)百分點(dian)，農戶(hu)基(ji)本(ben)隨(sui)采(cai)(cai)隨(sui)賣，沒(mei)有惜售現象。收購價(jia)格(ge)保持穩定(ding)，手摘(zhai)(zhai)(zhai)(zhai)棉(mian)(mian)(mian)價(jia)格(ge)為(wei)7-7.4元(yuan)(yuan)/公斤(jin)，機(ji)采(cai)(cai)棉(mian)(mian)(mian)價(jia)格(ge)為(wei)6-6.4元(yuan)(yuan)/公斤(jin)，多數企業(ye)采(cai)(cai)取邊銷售、邊加(jia)工(gong)的策略，銷售價(jia)格(ge)約為(wei)16000—16500元(yuan)(yuan)/噸，扣除加(jia)工(gong)成本(ben)1000元(yuan)(yuan)后，加(jia)工(gong)企業(ye)利潤微薄(bo)。分區域(yu)看，南(nan)疆以手摘(zhai)(zhai)(zhai)(zhai)棉(mian)(mian)(mian)為(wei)主(zhu)，棉(mian)(mian)(mian)花(hua)吐絮較早(zao)(zao)，采(cai)(cai)收工(gong)作啟動早(zao)(zao)于北疆，但由于特殊形勢和地域(yu)限制，今年拾(shi)花(hua)人員短缺，采(cai)(cai)摘(zhai)(zhai)(zhai)(zhai)進度(du)減緩。而北疆以機(ji)采(cai)(cai)棉(mian)(mian)(mian)為(wei)主(zhu)，隨(sui)著機(ji)采(cai)(cai)棉(mian)(mian)(mian)陸續(xu)開采(cai)(cai)，采(cai)(cai)摘(zhai)(zhai)(zhai)(zhai)進度(du)加(jia)快。
長(chang)江流域中下旬天氣(qi)轉晴，適宜棉(mian)(mian)(mian)(mian)(mian)花(hua)裂鈴吐絮，采摘進度(du)加(jia)快(kuai)(kuai)(kuai)，截止到10月31日，棉(mian)(mian)(mian)(mian)(mian)花(hua)采摘進度(du)為(wei)71.04%，同比加(jia)快(kuai)(kuai)(kuai)1.3個百分點(dian)；因為(wei)天氣(qi)較(jiao)好(hao)，棉(mian)(mian)(mian)(mian)(mian)花(hua)品質(zhi)(zhi)較(jiao)前期(qi)有所提高(gao)，但(dan)因前期(qi)陰雨導(dao)致(zhi)的大量(liang)爛桃棉(mian)(mian)(mian)(mian)(mian)，棉(mian)(mian)(mian)(mian)(mian)花(hua)整體(ti)質(zhi)(zhi)量(liang)不(bu)高(gao)，交(jiao)(jiao)(jiao)售價(jia)格(ge)參差(cha)不(bu)齊，目前品質(zhi)(zhi)較(jiao)好(hao)的棉(mian)(mian)(mian)(mian)(mian)花(hua)價(jia)格(ge)大多在6-6.6元(yuan)/公斤，總體(ti)交(jiao)(jiao)(jiao)售價(jia)格(ge)有所下降。該流域棉(mian)(mian)(mian)(mian)(mian)農交(jiao)(jiao)(jiao)售棉(mian)(mian)(mian)(mian)(mian)花(hua)的平均價(jia)格(ge)為(wei)5.93元(yuan)/公斤，同比降低10.70%。因為(wei)品質(zhi)(zhi)較(jiao)差(cha)的棉(mian)(mian)(mian)(mian)(mian)花(hua)無法(fa)長(chang)期(qi)貯藏，棉(mian)(mian)(mian)(mian)(mian)農交(jiao)(jiao)(jiao)售較(jiao)快(kuai)(kuai)(kuai)；交(jiao)(jiao)(jiao)售進度(du)為(wei)28.92%，同比加(jia)快(kuai)(kuai)(kuai)3.6個百分點(dian)。但(dan)品質(zhi)(zhi)較(jiao)好(hao)的棉(mian)(mian)(mian)(mian)(mian)花(hua)交(jiao)(jiao)(jiao)售量(liang)不(bu)大，棉(mian)(mian)(mian)(mian)(mian)農還在觀望。
黃河流域(yu)天氣較(jiao)適(shi)宜棉(mian)(mian)(mian)(mian)花(hua)吐絮采摘，采摘進度(du)明顯加快，截止到10月31日，棉(mian)(mian)(mian)(mian)花(hua)采摘進度(du)為(wei)92.19%，同比加快0.6個百分點。因為(wei)前期棉(mian)(mian)(mian)(mian)花(hua)品質(zhi)較(jiao)差(cha)價格較(jiao)低，后期質(zhi)量(liang)轉(zhuan)好價格小幅上漲，但(dan)棉(mian)(mian)(mian)(mian)農(nong)惜售(shou)嚴(yan)重，交(jiao)售(shou)進度(du)較(jiao)慢，進度(du)僅(jin)為(wei)18.8%，同比減慢4.2個百分點。其(qi)中，河南省棉(mian)(mian)(mian)(mian)花(hua)無人收購，僅(jin)有(you)(you)少部分交(jiao)售(shou)用于絮棉(mian)(mian)(mian)(mian)，數量(liang)有(you)(you)限，該省交(jiao)售(shou)進度(du)僅(jin)過5%。該流域(yu)棉(mian)(mian)(mian)(mian)農(nong)交(jiao)售(shou)棉(mian)(mian)(mian)(mian)花(hua)的平均價格為(wei)6.65元(yuan)/公斤，同比下(xia)降(jiang)6.07%。